A post by Jana Riess over at Religion News Service is getting a lot of attention: “Why are so many young women leaving Mormonism?” Her discussion is based on a recent BYU Studies publication, which reports a lot of statistical successes for the Church in terms of church activity and engagement. The surprising data about significant declines in the retention rates of LDS young women shows up around page 28 of the BYU publication and isn’t exactly highlighted in the study.

Let’s start with the RNS article. First paragraph:

A recent article in BYU Studies called attention to two clear trends in the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints in the United States. The first is that Mormons are succeeding in many ways — we pray more, attend church more and report being happier than most other Americans.

That’s the good news, if you measure success by these statistics. One could propose alternative measures of success for a church (truthfulness, candor, transparency, inclusiveness, being the One True Church, etc.) but that’s a different discussion.

Second paragraph:

The other trend the article noted is that markedly fewer people are staying in the church. We’re keeping about half, which is a big drop from what it used to be. We kept about 8 in 10 childhood members back in the 1980s.

That’s part of the bad news, but the same thing is happening in most other denominations. People just aren’t that into religion anymore. There is broad distrust for institutions, including religions. All the fiddling with missionary eligibility age is likely a response by LDS leadership to internal data showing this drop in retention rates.

Third paragraph, the biggie:

And the biggest bombshell? Women are now more likely to leave than men, especially if they’re younger.

Now that’s a real surprise, given the standard claim (which seems to be generally true) that women are more religious than men and are more likely to attend their respective churches, including the LDS Church. But the data reported in the BYU Studies publication are fairly clear: women have now have lower retention rates than men, especially younger LDS women. And there is a huge gap between older LDS women (much more likely to stay) than younger ones (much more likely to leave). What gives?

That’s the real question. If you accept the data as reported and analyzed (and five BYU PhDs are not likely to report this data if it was questionable) what is going on?

With reference to her own work on the topic, Riess offers some possibilities. “I have some ideas. Let’s boil them down to “three Ps”: young women are reacting against politics, purity culture and powerlessness.

You can read the details in the RNS article — I won’t rehash them here, and those seem like reasonable suggestions. The trick, of course, is to find explanations not just that lead young LDS women to go inactive or even formally exit the Church, but to find causes that affect young LDS women dramatically more than they affect young LDS men.

I’ll invite readers to weigh in with their own experience and their own observations of family or friends. I’m at something of a disadvantage here, not being a woman myself. But here is one observation: a lot of young LDS women now serve missions, and the feedback I get is that almost all of them have a very positive experience. That ought to lead to more, not less, retention of young LDS women. Perhaps that effect is swamped by stronger effects in the other direction.

If you are really motivated, go peruse the BYU Studies publication as well as the RNS article. You can download the booklet for free.

So here is the question for readers. Put yourself in the position of a 12- or 14- or 16- or 18-year-old LDS young woman. What would lead you to lose faith in the Church or lose interest in continuing to attend as you become an independent young adult? And what changes would and could the Church in general or individual wards make to keep more LDS young women active and attending?

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