Trump and his circle of fools has blundered into an unwinnable war with Iran. We should reflect a bit on what got us here. The US Constitution set up a system of government that was admirably suited to *avoid* many bad government decisions. Placing the power to declare war in the hands of Congress was supposed to prevent a foolish or aggressive president from starting a war on dubious grounds. Requiring the consent of Congress for the appointment of cabinet officers was supposed to filter out abjectly unqualified nominees. Establishing the federal courts as an independent branch of government with life appointments for judges was supposed to beef up barriers against unlawful actions by the executive branch.

This arrangement, and other systemic safeguards, worked reasonably well for the first couple of centuries, but has been less effective of late. In theory, the United States President should have access to the best intelligence information, get advice from the most qualified government officials and advisors, and be able to make generally good decisions. What could possibly go wrong? Let’s think this over, then do a Mo app, applying the same perspective to LDS leadership decisions.

Here’s what can go wrong:

  • Intelligence agencies provide bad information because they are staffed and directed by less competent loyalists rather than nonpartisan experts.
  • Good intelligence is provided, but ignored by decision makers.
  • Good intelligence is provided and absorbed by decision makers, but they choose to pursue personal or partisan objectives rather than legitimate national or institutional objectives.
  • Decision makers get the info and try to make decisions in the national or institutional interest, they’re just too stupid or lacking in good judgment to think their way to a good decision.
  • Everything works right and good decisions are made, but due to incompetence in the executive branch the plans are poorly executed and fail.
  • Good decisions are initially well executed, but circumstances change and leadership is unwilling or unable to change course, to change the plan in the face of adverse or unexpected developments.

So let’s run down those bullet points for Trump’s Iran War, a showcase for bad decision-making, then circle back to LDS considerations. (1) Trump chose an incompetent Director of National Intelligence, and the Senate confirmed her. (2) Trump routinely ignores what intelligence does make it to his desk. Reports consistently note how difficult it is to get Trump’s sustained attention for any detailed matter. (3) Corruption is off the charts in Trump’s administration. The most recent report being that Jared Kushner solicited billion dollar investments for his financial business while recently acting as a US envoy and negotiator. (4) Media reports that Trump was repeatedly advised by his Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of the danger of Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz and the difficulty in preventing it, but Trump ignored or at least discounted that warning. (5) US military performance has been excellent, but good tactical execution cannot overcome a deficient strategic plan. Ask Napoleon about Russia. Ask Putin about Ukraine. (6) Trump seems unable to pivot to an alternative plan, now that Plan A (we bomb them, they surrender) has failed.

Okay, let’s look at senior LDS leadership and how they make decisions. Again, let’s look at the six bullet points.

  • LDS leaders can get access to very good information, either in technical fields like law or finance or building plans, or in religious matters by calling on LDS historians and PhD religious profs. They can buy or get access too all the expertise they want.
  • Sometimes LDS leaders listen, sometimes they don’t. It would appear, for example, that the LDS race-based priesthood and temple ban persisted as long as it did because LDS leaders received bad information in the 19th century, then ignored updated and more accurate info about it through much of the 20th century.
  • I’m willing to grant that most in senior leadership do attempt to pursue legitimate institutional objectives. But sometimes an LDS President pursues what are essentially longstanding personal objectives, like Pres. Nelson stamping out the term “Mormon” from LDS discourse. Centralization of LDS power in the hands of the President (away from the Twelve or the FP Counselors) in recent decades makes this easier.
  • Once initiatives or programs are approved, the LDS system does a fair job of executing, although it is still hit or miss. The Ministering program, for example, seems to be a big nothingburger. It was almost dead on arrival.
  • LDS leadership can change course quickly, the best example being the 2015 Exclusion Policy decision, which was largely reversed just a couple of years later. But in general they will stick with a program or policy until forced by circumstances to reconsider it or make a change.

So the LDS governance system and decision-making by senior leadership does reasonably well, especially when compared to Trump and his crew.

So that’s the general topic and how it plays in LDS decision-making.

  • Do LDS leaders live in an echo chamber? (See image at top of post.) Or do they get info and feedback from outside the circle of leaders and LDS bureaucracy? Echo chambers lead to bad decisions.
  • Can you think of LDS examples of particularly good decisions in the past hundred years? Dropping Scouting, maybe? Two-hour church?
  • Can you think of LDS examples of especially bad decisions in the past hundred years? Not adopting a mandatory retirement age for apostles when they put it in place for Seventies, maybe? The LDS curriculum, which gets worse every year, maybe?