Regardless of the outcome of this election, we are going to find out through the data what women think vs. what men think. According to pollsters, this election is the most polarized by gender election that we’ve had in the United States. There have also been many posts and articles of single men complaining that women won’t date them if they voted for Trump; it’s a question many on dating apps are asking as a deal breaker.

Years ago when I was in a Relief Society Presidency, we were talking about marriages that were splitting up over “deal breakers” women had. The president said she would leave her husband if he ever left the Church. I was somewhat shocked, partly because her husband was a convert and hadn’t been a member when they married, but also because it just seemed like a terrible reason to leave an otherwise happy marriage. You can’t control another person’s beliefs. I’m not even sure you can control your own beliefs.

Another counselor pointed out that everyone has their deal breaker, and I probably had one too. I said I couldn’t be married to someone who was a Trump supporter. I still feel that way. I haven’t been confronted with that possibility, and maybe I would behave differently if I were, but as a woman, that would feel like being married to someone who doesn’t respect women, who minimizes the reproductive dangers women face, or who is willing to sell women for what they think are more desirable economic policies (probably–although they would have to have some other beliefs I disagree with on that front as well; it’s just that economic policy disagreement is not a deal breaker to me).

During this election cycle, both campaigns keyed into these gender differences, and both took positions designed to appeal to women (Harris) or men (Trump). Trump went on Rogan and ultimately received his endorsement. Harris did not, and that will probably cost her as Rogan is incredibly malleable and has a huge influence among young men. One ad that really resonated for me was the “secret woman voter” ad in which women show up with their conservative husbands at the ballot. The husbands assume their wives will vote in lock step with them, but the women make eye contact and vote their own conscience, not what their husband thinks.

“He assumes I’m voting Republican. I just listen to him talk about his views, and I just nod my head and go uh huh,” she said. “And I’m thinking, yeah and my nieces have less bodily autonomy and rights at their ages than I had.”

When I was growing up, I had a viewfinder. One of the discs was an episode of Happy Days called “The Not Making of a President.” In the storyline, it’s the 1956 election between Eisenhower and Stevenson, and the majority of the episode is a political argument between father Howard Cunningham and son Richie Cunningham about the candidates. Richie thinks Stevenson is the better man. Howard blusters and rages that his family has always voted Republican, and “This is a staunch GOP family!” as if he can control the votes of everyone in the family by fiat. The last slide in the disc is an image of Marion Cunningham, Mrs. C, as she winks and smiles at the camera saying “I voted for Adlai Stevenson.”

Trump said in the final week of his campaign: “I’m going to do it, whether the women like it or not, I’m going to protect them.” Some of his supporters cheered for this sentiment, but many women recoiled at his lack of respect and his disdain for women’s consent, both of which seem consistent with his well documented history and bragging of sexual assault. His paternalistic attitudes may appeal to some men (and even to some women), but they are not appealing to the majority of women.

Charlie Kirk, who heads the conservative student group Turning Point, said that wives who covertly vote for Harris “undermine their husbands–who probably work his tail off to make sure that she can go and have a nice life and provide to the family.” Another conservative commentator said that if his wife voted differently than he did, he would see it as cheating. Tucker Carlson went on a disturbing rant comparing Trump to a father of a bratty teenage daughter who was going to give her a “vigorous spanking” when he got home because “this was HIS house” (implying it’s not hers), and he sets the rules. He gleefully shouted that no, it was not going to hurt him more than it hurt her.

Supporters at recent Trump rallies referred to Harris as having “pimp handlers” which is both sexist and racist, and when he falsely and bizarrely claimed she didn’t work at McDonald’s in high school, someone in the crowd yelled out that she “worked on the corner” which got a laugh from Trump.

Trump has also reiterated that if he’s elected, women will no longer have to think about abortion–which feels coded to mean that he will sign a national ban, after already removing protections at the national level through his extremist SCOTUS appointments. Some of his supporters have stated that Harris would be unqualified because she might get her period, revealing that they don’t understand that as a 60 year old woman, she probably hasn’t had a period in at least 5 years, and that regardless, having a period doesn’t make you unfit to be a leader. I’ve seen men on X who opined that women were “undisciplined” for not “holding it in” when they got their period, as if it’s a choice whether or not to menstruate. There’s a good reason women aren’t eager for male protection, and why women want their choices to be respected.

It’s totally possible, in my opinion, to want fewer abortions, but to protect abortion as a procedure to be decided on between a doctor and patient; as we’ve learned, you cannot separate elective abortion from miscarriage and post-partum care when there are “retained products” in the uterus. It’s extremely common and life threatening for these conditions to go unaddressed. I personally had to have my uterus scraped out post-partum in an emergency procedure that is now outlawed in several red states. I was at risk of bleeding to death. Even women who want to have children want to keep the risk of maternal mortality as low as possible. How many of these men are eager to be single fathers after their wives bleed out in parking lots? Or do they just assume they’ll marry again, maybe someone younger and hotter, like men have done for millennia?

And then there are ectopic pregnancies which are never viable and will always endanger the woman’s life if not addressed medically. The procedure used to address them is an abortion, even though the fetus cannot survive the pregnancy. Additionally, some states have given the fetus more rights than the mother, without considering the fact that the fetus is physically dependent on a living host and will not survive if she dies. These existing bans in red states have made it clear that you can’t effectively make it illegal in one case and not another; they have also illustrated that many men simply don’t care or understand women’s reproductive systems, yet still want to be in control of them.

This gender gap is an important shift that, regardless of the election outcome, is going to continue to create societal impacts. About 12 years ago, I was at lunch with another Mormon feminist who suggested that the Church would have to listen to women because so many were dissatisfied with how things were going. I said I disagreed, that the Church would gladly see every single feminist leave the Church rather than give up an inch of control. I still suspect I was right about that, but as Elisa pointed out, more and more women are quiet quitting, refusing to go along to get along, turning down callings and assignments, wearing clothes and underwear they choose, and skipping out of the temple if they don’t like the sexism inherent in the ceremony.

Which brings us back to the woman vote, and what the widening gender gap might portend. One thing that seems to be inevitable is progress. Some pointed out that they thought a wife having to vote “secretly” was a throwback to the 1950s because it was not how marriages are today, and I suspect that it’s true, on the whole, that marriages are far more equal than they used to be. I have often noted that Mormon marriages are far more equal than their Evangelical counterparts, in practice, although Mormon leaders (who are just ridiculously old at this point) don’t portray that reality very well in their talks.

I also suspect that until women’s healthcare protections are restored, we will see a drop in live births. With this widening political gender gap, I also suspect we will see a drop in marriages, and that the trend that conservative men will have a harder time finding wives who will put up with paternalistic attitudes will continue. There is evidence that churches are losing women at unprecedented levels, and this is not just an LDS trend [1]. Will it continue?

  • Do you know anyone who voted differently from their spouse? Was it in the open or secret?
  • Do you think men or women are more dissatisfied with church? Are you seeing a shift or is the trend remaining the same where you are (where more men leave than women)?
  • Do you have relationship deal breakers?
  • Do you foresee impacts to social trends (birth rates, marriage rates, etc.) due to the abortion bans and gender divide that’s widening?

Discuss.

[1] 40% of Gen Z women claim to be religiously unaffiliated compared to 34% of Gen Z men.