What’s the difference between a valid conspiracy & a conspiracy theory? Dr Jesse James is a research psychologist and we’ll talk about why people get hooked on conspiracy theories. We’ll take a deep dive into the traditional polygamy narratives and the Brigham Young Conspiracy Theory, giving an overall narrative for each. Check out our conversation…

Dr. Jesse James’ Background and Expertise

Dr. Jesse James IS a research psychologist with a PhD in psychology, specializing in the science of memory and the psychology of religion and spirituality. He studied sleep and memory during grad school and his subsequent focus is 00n0 the psychology of religion and spirituality. Jesse clarifies that he is using the term “conspiracy theory” as an academic term, not an epithet, and explains that his discussion will summarize scientific literature on the topic. Jesse emphasizes that his observations are based on general trends from peer-reviewed articles and his own observations of polygamy skeptical podcasts.

Real Conspiracy vs Conspiracy Theory

How do we define a real conspiracy vs a conspiracy theory? Let’s talk abut specific examples like the JFK assassination, anti-vaxxers, and moon landing conspiracies. Jesse explains that a conspiracy theory involves a suspected nefarious activity requiring coordination among multiple people. Examples of real conspiracies include the Oklahoma City bombing and the Watergate scandal. Jesse emphasizes that real conspiracies do exist and that conspiracy theories should be taken seriously because they can be validated. They discuss the Tuskegee study as an example of a validated conspiracy. The study began in the 1930s when there was no cure for syphilis. Once penicillin was discovered in the 1950s, study authors refused to notify their black patients that a cure had been found. Instead they wanted to see what happened to a patient’s long-term health if left untreated. A whistleblower in the 1970s highlighted the ethical problems in the study, and it was halted due to bad publicity. The lingering effects of the Tuskegee Syphilis Study continues to cause distrust among African Americans against the medical community.

Belief in Conspiracy Theories and Their Psychological Basis

Jesse clarifies that belief in conspiracy theories is not pathological and is based on ordinary psychological processes. He explains that excessive fear, distrust, and insecurity can lead to irrational beliefs in conspiracy theories. Jesse outlines the two main areas of psychology related to conspiracy theories: the psychology of the person and the psychology of the theory itself. He shares his experience of watching a QAnon documentary and the difficulty of responding to such complex and unfalsifiable claims.

Jesse discusses the importance of understanding both the psychology of the person who believes in conspiracy theories and the psychology of the theory itself. He explains that conspiracy theories often involve confirmation bias, making it difficult to address individual claims within the theory. Jesse emphasizes the need for a systematic and unbiased approach to evaluating conspiracy theories, relying on expert conclusions. Rick expresses frustration with anti-vaxxers and the misinformation they spread, highlighting the importance of expert opinions.

The Brigham Young Conspiracy Theory

Jesse introduces the topic of the Brigham Young conspiracy theory, which suggests that Brigham Young, not Joseph Smith, started polygamy. He explains the traditional narrative that Joseph Smith was commanded by God to practice polygamy and the events leading up to its public acknowledgment.

Jesse outlines the alternative narrative that Brigham Young and other members of the 12 conspired to teach polygamy secretly while publicly denying it. He discusses the evidence behind this conspiracy theory, including the increase in polygamy practices after Joseph’s death that polygamy skeptics point out. Jesse provides specific examples of evidence used to support the Brigham Young conspiracy theory, such as the increase in polygamy practices and the editing of historical records. Skeptics believe Brigham Young had a desire to centralize power. Jesse explains the role of confirmation bias and the difficulty of addressing individual claims within the conspiracy theory because they are so numerous.

Psychology Behind Conspiracy Theories

Conspiracy theories are based on natural processes amplified by personality types or experiences. Emotions like distrust, uncertainty, and fear drive people to rationalize conspiracy theories logically. Pattern perception, the process of understanding cause and effect relationships, is a key cognitive process involved in conspiracy theories. Jesse describes pattern perception using laboratory experiments with random dot arrays to measure meaning perception. Different personality types are more likely to see meaning in randomness under certain conditions like fear or distrust. Conspiracy theories help people understand complex phenomena by tying events together in meaningful ways.

Historical and Modern Examples of Pattern Perception

Rick uses the example of dating to illustrate pattern perception. In trying to understand why a breakup happened., many people use pattern perception to try to come up with reasons to explain the breakup. Pattern perception is used in various facets of life, like cooking or understanding animal behavior. Historical examples include the belief in demons or karma for getting sick. Some people believed that ice cream caused polio because it was known that polio cases and ice cream sales increased in the summer. It wasn’t until the polio virus was discovered in lakes where people swam that the true reason for polio was discovered. Rick uses this as an example in his statistics classes for the famous phrase “correlation is not causation.” Correlation does not imply causation, but sometimes it can be useful, even if not completely accurate.

Fear of Uncertainty

Jesse discusses compensatory conviction, where people retreat to strongly held beliefs to stabilize their worldview. Fear and uncertainty can lead to higher levels of vigilance and agency detection, like attributing a bush rustling to a lion. When people leave a danger zone, they can be saved by fear an vigilance. Even if the rustling was due to a squirrel instead of a lion, this heightened vigilance can be life-saving at times. People with higher baseline levels of fear and anxiety are more likely to believe in conspiracy theories. Rick mentions that it seems like there is a correlation between anti-vaxxers and polygamy skeptics. Fear of past or fugure polygamy can be attributed to fear and uncertainty.

Trust Eroding Experiences and Conspiracy Theories

Jesse explains that trust eroding experiences, like high inflation, political divisiveness, and mental health challenges, can lead to distrust in authorities. Conspiracy theories provide a sense of control and certainty in tumultuous times. Some personality types are more prone to conspiracy theories. This includes those with a higher need to reduce uncertainty, external locus of control, and willingness to believe in limited evidence. Extremists and conspiracy theorists often have a lower trust in the rule of law and become more distrustful of institutions.

Appeal of Conspiracy Theories

Conspiracy theories make people feel like they have elite, insider knowledge, validating their distrust and contrarian identity. Examples include the Illuminati world domination theory and the Brigham Young conspiracy theory. Believing in conspiracy theories can reinforce feelings of superiority and provide a sense of control. Both believers and skeptics of conspiracy theories can engage in mental bugs.

Proportionality Bias and Conspiracy Theories

Jesse explains the proportionality bias, where people believe in conspiracy theories more when the event is monumental. The JFK assassination is an example where the proportionality bias led to widespread conspiracy theories. A study on the shows that people are more likely to believe in a conspiracy theory if the leader dies. Some polygamy skeptics also believe that Brigham Young orchestrated the death of Joseph Smith. This is an example of the proportionality bias.

Simple Explanations for Complex Events

Conspiracy theories provide simple explanations for complex events, giving a sense of control and predictability. Populist movements often oversimplify complex issues to provide a sense of certainty. The Brigham Young conspiracy theory simplifies the complex reasons for polygamy into a single, lecherous motive. Jesse suggests that Joseph Smith’s psychological dissociations made him more susceptible to religious experiences such as revelations and visions.

In our next conversation, we will discuss religious motivations and theological justifications behind the polygamy skeptic theories. Jesse adds that the COVID vaccine push by the First Presidency can lead to fear and uncertainty, driving people to disempower the church authorities. Historical polygamy or future polygamy continues to bother many members, leading to conspiracy theories. Theological reasons include breaking the chain of authority from Joseph Smith to President Nelson and questioning the legitimacy of Church leaders.

What are your experiences in dealing with conspiracy theories? Were you aware of why they appeal to friends and family?