By which I mean still active in the LDS Church and attending their local unit? And the answer is: a few. Less than there used to be. Fewer than last year, and there will be fewer still next year. There is nothing to suggest the Church as an institution will reverse its course of retrenchment and moral regression. Nor is the leadership doing much to counter the infiltration of radicalized conservatism into the thinking, practice, and behavior of the average Trump-loving Mormon in the pews. So the few progressive Mormons that are left don’t really have much hope that things might get better. If they are still active in the Church it is because of family ties or because they are just stubborn. It’s like watching your favorite sports team get worse every year. At some point, most fans lose hope and lose interest.

Politics isn’t my favorite topic to post on. But with US presidential election campaigning (which now largely consists of name-calling and insults) dominating the news, and with political ideology now so intertwined with conservative religion, including the LDS Church, it just has to be addressed from time to time.

The biggest mystery of the current political alignment is how Donald Trump has continued to retain the political allegiance of so many conservative Evangelicals and Mormons. Nothing highlights the puzzle quite as starkly as the recent Atlantic piece, “Trump’s Evangelical Supporters Just Lost Their Best Excuse,” by Peter Wehner. In the context of the article, everything that is said about Evangelicals applies directly to Mormons.

The central issue discussed is abortion policy, in particular Trump’s predictable pivot from opposing abortion to now either wanting to leave it to the states to decide or, as noted in the article, more or less supporting it. It’s not just Evangelicals who have used the conservative position on abortion to justify supporting Trump — Mormons do it, too. I have had members of my own ward use that exact rationale in conversations with me.

Here’s a short paragraph from the article:

But the pro-life justification for supporting Trump has just collapsed. Trump, who described himself as “strongly pro-choice” in the 1990s … has returned to his socially liberal ways. “My Administration will be great for women and their reproductive rights,” he recently declared on Truth Social. Kamala Harris couldn’t have stated it any more emphatically.

This should not be a surprise. Trump does not maintain a fixed heading; he follows a path of least resistance or maximum short-term personal gain. Or, as the article puts it, “This is not a surprise. Betrayal is a core character trait of Trump’s.”

About 75% of White Protestant Evangelicals voted for Trump in 2020. You can check the Mormon percentages by looking at a 2021 Jana Reiss article at RNS: 80% of Mormons over 40 voted for Trump, while 42% of Mormons under 40 voted for Trump. Other sources put overall Mormon support for Trump above 70%, roughly equivalent to Evangelical support. The puzzle for us, of course, is not why most Mormons vote for Trump. It’s why *any* Mormon votes for Trump. Here’s the article’s damning summary:

And how can those who profess to be followers of Jesus cast a ballot for this candidate [Trump], once the excuse of casting a pro-life vote is gone? For a convicted felon and a pathological liar, a man who has peddled racist conspiracy theories, cozied up to the world’s worst dictators, blackmailed an American ally, invited a hostile foreign power to interfere in American elections, defamed POWs and the war dead, mocked people with handicaps, and encouraged political violence? How can they continue to stand in solidarity with a person who has threatened prosecutors, judges, and the families of judges; who attempted to overthrow an election; who assembled a violent mob and directed it to march on the Capitol; and who encouraged the mob to hang his vice president?

While that’s the big puzzle of the article — why so many Evangelicals (and, by analogy, Mormons) stick with Trump despite his disgusting track record — it’s not really the focus of this post. I’m looking at the effect on the membership of the LDS Church, namely that more and more progressive Mormons (those who reject Trump and everything he stands for) have quietly or noisily exited. At some point there won’t be any left. This is not a reversible process. Even in the unlikely event that (1) LDS leadership emphatically changes course; and (2) they somehow manage to change the thinking and behavior of the mainstream LDS membership, those Mormon progressives are not coming back. I think they have given up on the Church.

Two simple points for discussion.

  • First, am I right that progressive Mormons have largely given up on the Church, most having already left?
  • Second, am I right that this leaves the Church stuck in a radicalized conservative Trumpian rut with little hope of moving in a different direction?